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How Not to Invest: Surprising Lessons From a Renowned Wealth Manager


There’s no shortage of financial books out there if that’s what interests you. But since none of us has time to read them all, we need to be choosy. Permit me, then, to recommend How Not to Invest: The Ideas, Numbers, and Behaviors that Destroy Wealth — and How to Avoid Them by Barry Ritholtz. It offers a fresh angle on investing and money management by telling us what not to do if we want to build wealth.

Here are a few lessons from the book. Dive in yourself, and you’ll learn many more.

A person crosses their arms as if saying no or stop.
Image source: Getty Images.

First, meet the author, Barry Ritholtz, who is the co-founder, chairman, and chief investment officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management, and an early devotee of behavioral economics. You may know him from his very well regarded financial blog, “The Big Picture,” and his popular podcast, Masters in Business.

Ritholtz is known for his straight talk about financial matters, and his book has a lot of that to offer. (Better still, his writing is very accessible — and even entertaining.)

In times of extreme stock market volatility, you might run across a headline like “Dow Plunges 1,000 Points!” That can get your heart beating fast as you worry about whether your portfolio will be wiped out. You need to look at the bigger picture, though, specifically at the denominator in question. For example, if the Dow was at 1,000 before it fell by 1,000, that’s a 100% drop and terrible indeed.

But the Dow Jones Industrial Index was recently near 44,600. So a drop from 44,600 to 43,600 isn’t actually that horrifying. It’s actually a drop of 2.24%.

Ritholtz applies the same concept to corporate layoffs. Consider Microsoft, which is expecting to lay off around 9,000 people in 2025. That’s certainly a huge number of people, but don’t let it have you wondering whether Microsoft is going out of business. You need to look at the denominator. Is the workforce reduction 9,000 people out of 20,000 or 100,000, or what?

Well, actually, as of about a year ago, Microsoft employed about 228,000 people worldwide (about 55% of which are in the U.S.). So a 9,000 reduction out of 228,000 is a cut of about 3.95%. It’s not nothing, but it’s not a bloodbath, either.

Ritholtz takes to task those financial pundits who like to predict recessions. Recessions do happen, but no one can consistently predict when they will happen. That’s why trying to time the market is not a smart move. Ritholtz notes: “During the 20th century, there were 20 recessions, or one every five years on average. If you predict a recession over the next four years, you’ll be on average right 80% of the time.”


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